![]() There is a big difference in the expected value between these hands due to the extra 20% you win of the pot after a bet and a call, plus a potential river bet. ![]() Compare this to if you were pure bluffing the turn with a hand like 72o you’ll only win the pot the 35% of the time your opponent folds. Say you’re on the turn and semi-bluffing with a flush draw you think your opponent will fold around 35% of the time to your bet, plus about 20% of the time you’ll make your hand on the river, meaning you’ll win the pot around 55% of the time. The more times you’re able to win the pot, the more money you’re going to make playing poker. It’s like having a backup plan for your bluffs if it doesn’t work, then there’s an escape route you can take by making the best hand.īy choosing semi-bluffs as your hands to bluff with, you’re increasing the number of times you win the pot. ![]() The great thing about semi-bluffing is that you give yourself two chances to win the pot: you can either take it down if your bluff works and if it doesn’t, you have an opportunity to make the best hand by the river. While this is a legitimate point, and the reason we don’t semi-bluff with 100% frequency, there are plenty of benefits to semi-bluffing. You might think that betting without a made hand is too risky and that if you semi-bluff and don’t make your hand then you’ve wasted money when you could have played passively instead.
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